Virginia
W-L: (40-18) PR = 94.4902Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1-17 206 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 5- 1 207 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 4- 3 207 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 4- 2 208 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 10- 2 213 H Delaware State MEAC ( 0- 3, 82.2) 20- 0 214 A Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 3- 0 214 A Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 8- 0 215 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5-25 219 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 14- 1 220 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 5- 4 220 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 8- 4 221 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 8- 0 221 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 5- 0 222 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 1-25 224 A Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 7- 1 226 H George Mason A10 ( 1- 1, 93.1) 9- 6 227 H Bucknell PAT ( 0- 6, 88.6) 5- 0 227 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 6- 2 228 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 10- 2 301 H Bucknell PAT ( 0- 6, 88.6) 7- 0 301 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5- 4 301 H Bucknell PAT ( 0- 6, 88.6) 7- 0 301 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5- 4 303 A Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 0 306 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 7- 3 307 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 9-11 307 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 19-14 310 H Hampton CA ( 0- 1, 85.2) 10- 0 313 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 2- 1 314 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 5- 7 315 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 5- 1 321 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 9- 4 321 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 7- 1 325 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 2- 1 327 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 10- 7 328 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 8- 2 329 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 4- 1 402 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 2- 5 403 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 3- 4 404 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 4- 8 408 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 4 410 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 4- 3 411 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 2- 5 412 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 0- 5 417 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 4-12 418 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 1- 3 419 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 1- 6 421 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 7- 9 424 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 3- 1 425 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 8- 2 426 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 7- 5 428 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 4- 6 507 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 1- 3 515 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 8- 7 516 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 5- 7 516 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 9- 7 517 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Arkansas 1-17 -16 -4 --- -9.56
206 A Coastal Carolina 5- 1 4 2 1.73
207 H Akron 4- 3 1 5 - -3.61
207 A Arkansas 4- 2 2 -6 +++ 7.92
208 A Coastal Carolina 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.73
213 H Delaware State 20- 0 20 13 0.98
214 A Longwood 3- 0 3 6 - -2.92
214 A Toledo 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.11
215 H Louisville 5-25 -20 0 --- -13.68
219 H Maryland 14- 1 13 5 +++ 8.02
220 H Maryland 5- 4 1 5 - -3.98
220 H Ohio State 8- 4 4 1 + 2.62
221 H Ohio State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.62
221 H Delaware 5- 0 5 4 1.22
222 H Toledo 1-25 -24 5 --- -19.38
224 A Longwood 7- 1 6 6 0.08
226 H George Mason 9- 6 3 2 0.88
227 H Bucknell 5- 0 5 7 -1.64
227 H Michigan 6- 2 4 0 + 3.52
228 H Villanova 10- 2 8 7 0.72
301 H Bucknell 7- 0 7 7 0.36
301 H Michigan 5- 4 1 0 0.52
301 H Bucknell 7- 0 7 7 0.36
301 H Michigan 5- 4 1 0 0.52
303 A Radford 2- 0 2 4 -1.67
306 A North Carolina 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.04
307 A North Carolina 9-11 -2 0 -1.96
307 A North Carolina 19-14 5 0 ++ 5.04
310 H Hampton 10- 0 10 10 0.00
313 H Georgia Tech 2- 1 1 0 0.60
314 H Georgia Tech 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.40
315 H Georgia Tech 5- 1 4 0 + 3.60
321 A Syracuse 9- 4 5 5 0.14
321 A Syracuse 7- 1 6 5 1.14
325 H Liberty 2- 1 1 3 -1.86
327 A Georgia Southern 10- 7 3 3 -0.10
328 A Ole Miss 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 7.55
329 H Pittsburgh 4- 1 3 5 -1.52
402 A Duke 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.13
403 A Duke 3- 4 -1 -3 1.87
404 A Duke 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.13
408 H Louisiana 5- 4 1 2 -1.02
410 H Virginia Tech 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.79
411 H Virginia Tech 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.21
412 H Virginia Tech 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.21
417 A Clemson 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.83
418 A Clemson 1- 3 -2 0 -1.83
419 A Clemson 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.83
421 H James Madison 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.50
424 H NC State 3- 1 2 2 -0.46
425 A Texas A&M 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 9.04
426 A LSU 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.27
428 H Iowa State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.18
507 A Virginia Tech 1- 3 -2 -3 1.28
515 H Indiana 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.00
516 A Tennessee 5- 7 -2 -3 1.17
516 A Indiana 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.49
517 H Tennessee 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Arkansas 1-17 -16 -4 --- -9.56 215 H Louisville 5-25 -20 0 --- -13.68 222 H Toledo 1-25 -24 5 --- -19.38 417 A Clemson 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.83 419 A Clemson 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.83 421 H James Madison 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.50 207 H Akron 4- 3 1 5 - -3.61 214 A Longwood 3- 0 3 6 - -2.92 220 H Maryland 5- 4 1 5 - -3.98 314 H Georgia Tech 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.40 412 H Virginia Tech 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.21 428 H Iowa State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.18 517 H Tennessee 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Arkansas 4- 2 2 -6 +++ 7.92 219 H Maryland 14- 1 13 5 +++ 8.02 221 H Ohio State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.62 328 A Ole Miss 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 7.55 425 A Texas A&M 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 9.04 208 A Coastal Carolina 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.73 214 A Toledo 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.11 306 A North Carolina 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.04 307 A North Carolina 19-14 5 0 ++ 5.04 426 A LSU 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.27 516 A Indiana 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.49 220 H Ohio State 8- 4 4 1 + 2.62 227 H Michigan 6- 2 4 0 + 3.52 315 H Georgia Tech 5- 1 4 0 + 3.60 410 H Virginia Tech 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.79 515 H Indiana 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 1-17 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.43 -0.21
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 5- 1 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.43 10.16
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 4- 3 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.43 8.13
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 4- 2 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.43 17.28
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 10- 2 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.43 10.16
3 H Delaware State ( 0- 3, 82.2) 20- 0 -17.69 1.68 -0.74 0.43 0.82
3 A Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 3- 0 -12.07 7.30 0.74 0.43 6.99
3 A Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 8- 0 -10.04 9.33 0.74 0.43 8.75
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5-25 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.43 -1.11
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 14- 1 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.43 7.81
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 5- 4 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.43 7.81
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 8- 4 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.43 10.93
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 8- 0 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.43 10.93
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 5- 0 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.43 8.84
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 1-25 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.43 -2.34
3 A Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 7- 1 -12.07 7.30 0.74 0.43 6.99
3 H George Mason ( 1- 1, 93.1) 9- 6 -6.79 12.58 -0.74 0.43 10.29
3 H Bucknell ( 0- 6, 88.6) 5- 0 -11.31 8.06 -0.74 0.43 6.36
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 6- 2 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.43 11.72
3 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 10- 2 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.43 5.80
3 H Bucknell ( 0- 6, 88.6) 7- 0 -11.31 8.06 -0.74 0.43 6.36
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 5- 4 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.43 11.72
3 H Bucknell ( 0- 6, 88.6) 7- 0 -11.31 8.06 -0.74 0.43 6.36
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 5- 4 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.43 11.72
3 A Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 0 -9.83 9.54 0.74 0.43 8.94
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 7- 3 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.43 12.17
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 9-11 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.43 -1.17
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 19-14 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.43 12.17
3 H Hampton ( 0- 1, 85.2) 10- 0 -14.67 4.70 -0.74 0.43 3.44
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.43 11.79
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 5- 7 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.43 -1.26
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 5- 1 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.43 11.79
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 9- 4 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.43 7.91
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 7- 1 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.43 7.91
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 2- 1 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.43 9.64
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 10- 7 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.43 9.44
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 8- 2 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.43 13.48
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 4- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.43 8.21
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.43 -0.55
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.43 -0.55
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 4- 8 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.43 -0.55
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 4 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.43 10.38
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 4- 3 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.43 13.69
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 2- 5 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.43 -0.79
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 0- 5 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.43 -0.79
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 4-12 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.43 -1.14
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 1- 3 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.43 -1.14
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 1- 6 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.43 -1.14
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 7- 9 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.43 -1.72
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 3- 1 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.43 10.00
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 8- 2 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.43 14.77
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 7- 5 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.43 14.98
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 4- 6 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.43 -1.43
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 1- 3 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.43 -0.46
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 8- 7 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.43 13.00
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 5- 7 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.43 -0.49
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 9- 7 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.43 14.29
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 5 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.43 -0.81
------
376.28
|
winning pts = 393.9267 losing points = -17.6477
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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